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GISMETEO.RU
UJ Week
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Nation    

Latest poll bad news for prime minister
Journal Staff Report

KIEV, June 24 – Prime Minister Yulia Tymoshenko, who has been struggling to contain Ukraine’s economic crisis, would most likely lose the presidential election to both of her biggest rivals in the runoff, an opinion poll showed Wednesday.

Tymoshenko would lose to opposition Regions Party leader Viktor Yanukovych at 28.8% vs. 38.8%, according to the poll by Research & Branding Group.

Tymoshenko would also lose to former Parliamentary Speaker Arseniy Yatseniuk at the margin of 22.3% vs. 30.1%, according to the poll.

Should Yanukovych square off against Yatsniuk in the runoff, Yanukovych would prevail by 36.7% vs. 30.8%, according to the poll.

The poll, which was conducted among 2,079 people between June 12 and June 22, is the first reaction to the collapse of controversial constitutional talks between Tymoshenko and Yanukovych on June 8.

The poll shows that Yanukovych’s rating appears to be unaffected by the collapse and the subsequent revelations of the secret talks, while Tymoshenko has been losing some popular support, although not dramatically.

In the poll, Yanukovych scored support from 26.8% respondents surveyed by Research & Branding Group, followed by Tymoshenko’s 15.8% and Yatseniuk’s 12.3%, according to the poll. The margin of error is 2.2%, according to the polling agency.

Other possible candidates would probably not enter the runoff, including Parliamentary Speaker Volodymyr Lytvyn (3.9%), Communist Party leader Petro Symonenko (3.5%), Regions Party lawmaker Iryna Bohoslovska (3%) and President Viktor Yushchenko (2.1%).

Yushchenko’s rating shows little signs of movement despite his active campaigning over the past two weeks. That leaves a possibility that the incumbent president may eventually throw his support behind Yatseniuk, the only potential candidate that shares Yushchenko’s pro-Western course.

The majority of the people, 52%, said they will definitely go to cast their ballots at the presidential election, while 23.6% said they would probably go and 11.9% said they were yet undecided, the poll shows. At least 6.7% said they would probably skip the election.

The release of poll data comes a day after Parliament has voted overwhelmingly to set the next presidential election on January 17, 2010, the only date that Yushchenko had earlier defended as “constitutional.”

The vote eased fears over possible clash between Yushchenko and his political rivals that have planned to schedule the presidential election on a much earlier date. Tymoshenko, for example, has been suggesting scheduling the election for November.

Meanwhile, discussions among politicians have been also centering on the possibility of an early parliamentary election to run on the same date as the presidential vote.

The Regions Party scored support from 29.3% of respondents, according to Research & Branding, followed by the Tymoshenko Bloc’s 15.5%, Yatseniuk Bloc’s 10.6%, the Lytvyn Bloc’s 3.9% and the Communist Party’s 3.7%. (tl/ez)




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